Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.094620 3.458786 3.852969 4.312047 4.832889 5.406451 6.087275
2024-10-27 2.436595 2.893827 3.423175 4.083786 4.889564 5.844777 7.069291
2024-11-03 2.119146 2.635271 3.264225 4.092173 5.160892 6.503989 8.335599
2024-11-10 1.930359 2.492945 3.208150 4.192508 5.525227 7.285516 9.817557
2024-11-17 1.758303 2.344170 3.116114 4.219705 5.776499 7.923520 11.159845
2024-11-24 1.618347 2.218787 3.035312 4.242741 6.009842 8.543836 12.529959
2024-12-01 1.499949 2.108738 2.960497 4.259194 6.224779 9.146309 13.927546
2024-12-08 1.366771 1.964107 2.820921 4.163071 6.255827 9.467571 14.914266
2024-12-15 1.272164 1.866471 2.739328 4.142271 6.393217 9.956145 16.211224
2024-12-22 1.184134 1.770773 2.651347 4.100875 6.489303 10.380915 17.439908
2024-12-29 1.153641 1.759817 2.690674 4.261873 6.924584 11.398606 19.802610
2025-01-05 1.089317 1.690541 2.632220 4.256816 7.078697 11.950451 21.389780
2025-01-12 1.020831 1.611309 2.554356 4.216931 7.176470 12.426352 22.920971
2025-01-19 0.922459 1.476718 2.376437 3.991683 6.926949 12.254616 23.191547
2025-01-26 0.876843 1.426221 2.334578 3.999306 7.096572 12.868054 25.084660
2025-02-02 0.850927 1.406825 2.343489 4.096981 7.439949 13.842169 27.836008
2025-02-09 0.815132 1.367776 2.315126 4.123462 7.649155 14.574274 30.169698
2025-02-16 0.781533 1.330155 2.286280 4.145908 7.851136 15.310111 32.605589
2025-02-23 0.749533 1.293157 2.255707 4.161942 8.040561 16.037386 35.116814
2025-03-02 0.704382 1.229537 2.172157 4.068257 7.997063 16.267609 36.499271
2025-03-09 0.672740 1.188620 2.127813 4.047984 8.103104 16.828155 38.742302
2025-03-16 0.640727 1.145062 2.075611 4.007636 8.162281 17.289910 40.803108
2025-03-23 0.635348 1.151185 2.118458 4.164552 8.662369 18.798961 45.736389